http://pando.com/2014/06/23/the-war-nerd-like-it-or-not-whats-happening-in-iraq-right-now-is-part-of-a-rational-process/
The War Nerd's breakdown of the ISIS situation, admittedly sorta old, but the best analysis I've seen thus far.
More War nerd:
http://exiledonline.com/cat/war-nerd/
http://pando.com/author/garybrecher/
Feb 6, 2015
Iraq and ISIS breakdown
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